There has been some activity in the camera box at this site lately, I came by at dusk nov.9 and despite the poor quality/poor viewing, it looked like the it was a gray phased that was in the box. Which should be the male. (unless there has been some turnover with owls). This is the first the male has been seen this year here as well. Nov 17. also appeared to be a gray phase in the box, this time documented with the box cam. There still some room for doubt, but it looks to be the gray phase, especially compared to last years screen grab of the female (red phase).
Compared to last years female screen grab february despite the different exposure and tint with the photos, things like contrast between wood chips and owl, seem to indicate the above would be gray phased.